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Nov 4, 2012
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. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a poll are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years ago when you were still doing this show because of your tenacity, and because of my leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls were regarded as a rock makes, these polls today have -- as approximation, these polls today are -- >> there is money to be made. >> one or two -- [ talking over one another ] >> i hate to see this come to an end. >> polls are not that precise. >> if they weren't that precise, why do politicians spend that much money on them? >> they are false idols. they are worshiping the false idol. >> the media are more obsessed with polling than before. they show a close race, but president obama with a small but durable lead in the states that matter, and predictions show a race leaning towar
. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a poll are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years ago when you were still doing this show because of your tenacity, and because of my...
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Oct 28, 2012
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>> national tracking polls has of them close, but the key battleground states, obama still holds a lead. >> what is the ground game, mark? >> the organized effort over months to identify and not only support -- identified not only supporters, but leaners, and persuade them on how one by one retail basis. weeks before election day, you know who your voters are. you want to be sure you get the vote. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices. >> it is down to micromanaging, micro-issuing these of votes. interestingly, the republicans had a better ground game in 2004, and a lot of people think that is why and they won that close election. it sort of fell into disrepair today are building it back up now, but i don't think they are anywhere near where obama is yet. >> there is another question. which candidate has the most d.c. asked to come most engaged, most dedicated supporters? >> that is a hard one to answer. clearly after the first debate, the republican party at everly and these as to support their. romney did do well compared to obama. there was disappointme
>> national tracking polls has of them close, but the key battleground states, obama still holds a lead. >> what is the ground game, mark? >> the organized effort over months to identify and not only support -- identified not only supporters, but leaners, and persuade them on how one by one retail basis. weeks before election day, you know who your voters are. you want to be sure you get the vote. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices....
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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gwen: john: >> mitt romney will not be president unless he outperforms the polls if the polls are not capturing the intensity behind mitt romney's superintendent porers or in some way they're exaggerating president obama's support -- gwen: where is the intensity right now? is it with the republicans or the democrats? >> we have it equal. in our polls they're equally inspired. that's exactly right. >> republicans think they have an advantage. >> it's dispor portion -- disproportion nat with white voters. african-americans are also pretty energized but latinos which the president is dominating are not. young voters are not. both of those are underperforming in terms of interest in the election and motivation. that's where the president's challenge is. he's got to make sure that he could harvest all the votes that shows up in these polls from latinos and from young voters. >> and gwen, just to follow on amy's point, barack obama sbrang to celebrity status with that speech of not white america, red, america. if he wins he's going to win because he was the president of black america, hispa
gwen: john: >> mitt romney will not be president unless he outperforms the polls if the polls are not capturing the intensity behind mitt romney's superintendent porers or in some way they're exaggerating president obama's support -- gwen: where is the intensity right now? is it with the republicans or the democrats? >> we have it equal. in our polls they're equally inspired. that's exactly right. >> republicans think they have an advantage. >> it's dispor portion --...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg has been thinking about for some time and it is coming as the president finished the bromance tour with chris christie. it is a good week for the president. >> when you read the mayor's reasons, what was he waiting for. there wasn't a single thing that he was in line for? >> it seems to me that he is someone who has a large conception on his role on american national affairs and an early endorsement would not preserve that. the mayor's people say there is off the recoorecord reporters ae time. if you look at the economists the center right conservative publication, what you see is that the presiden
in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg...
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Nov 2, 2012
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. >> reporter: with polls in iowa showing president obama with a thin but steady lead, it's likely that both candidates will try to tap into the growing number of latino voters. >> brown: online, you can watch a video profile of the town of perry, iowa, on our politics page. >> woodruff: and to the analysis of shields and brooks. that's syndicated columnist mark shields and "new york times" columnist david brooks. so one of the things he said was to to him immigration reform is the second big, and yet it barely comes up. he is not ready for obvious rrntion it is a tough issue and mitt romney is not for obvious reason sois think if obama is re-elected i'm not sure, it is to the going to be a top priority. >> re-elected? >> re-elected, just gave me a cold chill. >> maybe in the second term it will be. if obama is re-elected he will be. and i suspect they would be happy to go back to george w. bush was trying to do a few years ago. but it is a tragedy we haven't really talked about because it is much harder to get something passed. >> how do you see it. >> i think the republican party is k
. >> reporter: with polls in iowa showing president obama with a thin but steady lead, it's likely that both candidates will try to tap into the growing number of latino voters. >> brown: online, you can watch a video profile of the town of perry, iowa, on our politics page. >> woodruff: and to the analysis of shields and brooks. that's syndicated columnist mark shields and "new york times" columnist david brooks. so one of the things he said was to to him...
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Nov 2, 2012
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but looking at the maps and the polling it's clear that president obama still has a narrow advantage in terms of how you get to 270 electoral votes. two big developments to me have happened in the last 48 hours. the first one is the kind of ads governor romney is running. you mentioned one of them in your piece, that's the one in florida linking president obama to chavez and castro. the other one in ohio where governor romney for the first time brings up the auto issue where he's been battered on. neither of those ads were released to the press, they were just put on the air. that, as you know, is a giveaway that they don't want that ad to be written about, they want voters to see it. and that to me says they still have to move numbers in both florida and ohio and the second big thing, judy, the fact that governor romney on sunday is going to be in the philadelphia suburbs, that really speaks to the fact that they're looking for a way to 270 besides ohio. >> woodruff: margaret, you cover the white house, you're talking to them. they're hearing what the romney people are doing, what a
but looking at the maps and the polling it's clear that president obama still has a narrow advantage in terms of how you get to 270 electoral votes. two big developments to me have happened in the last 48 hours. the first one is the kind of ads governor romney is running. you mentioned one of them in your piece, that's the one in florida linking president obama to chavez and castro. the other one in ohio where governor romney for the first time brings up the auto issue where he's been battered...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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obama, i think, is just misreading the polls entirely. the latest polling shows that -- i think ken is right. when global warming becomes local that the public becomes concerned about it. that's why the polls in the last two years have shown the public is increasingly concerned and this is particularly true of independent voters also. they are very concerned about their local pollution but also the extreme weather that they've been seeing. who could miss $14 billion extreme weather disasters in this country last year and over $7 this year. everyone sees the weather is going crazy and it's affecting them. it's not going to be affecting distant people in a distant land a distant time from now. it's happening here and now. >> suarez: joseph romm, kenneth green, gentlemen, thank you both. >> thank you. >> thank you. >> suarez: we've rounded up all of our reporting on these issues on our "coping with climate change" page on our web site. take a look. >> ifill: and we turn to the final days of the presidential contest. among the key states in b
obama, i think, is just misreading the polls entirely. the latest polling shows that -- i think ken is right. when global warming becomes local that the public becomes concerned about it. that's why the polls in the last two years have shown the public is increasingly concerned and this is particularly true of independent voters also. they are very concerned about their local pollution but also the extreme weather that they've been seeing. who could miss $14 billion extreme weather disasters in...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did printout what you said last week in case i needed it. i'll see after election day how close you are. in terms of the storm does that do anything, i think steve hays refered to something like statture gap that he was losing his statture gap. now, this will make him appear more presidential and the opportunity. i don't mean to demean the president or the storm or light of the loss but just the hard reality is that election day is tuesday. >> i think the storm is so big, damage so wide spread and intense, that you know, president is going to, he's hopefully doing his job, what he shoul
you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did printout what you said last week in case i needed it. i'll see after election day how close you are. in terms of the storm does that do anything, i think steve hays refered to something like statture gap that he was losing his statture gap. now, this will make him appear more presidential and the opportunity. i don't mean to demean the president or the storm or light of the loss but just the hard reality is that election day is tuesday. >> i think the storm is so big, damage so wide spread and intense, that you know, president is going to, he's hopefully doing his job, what he shoul
you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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the state polls, the battle ground state polls suggest and indicate that president obama is ahead in nearly all of them but the national polls have a tie. it is striking to see this difference. it is sobering if you are a romney supporter to think he is trailing or tied in so many of the states. could the polls be wrong? they could. whether they are, we are wait dog find out. >>chris: you have been traveling the country if weeks and months, jeff, your sense of where this stands 48 hours out? >> much different in battle ground states because of the advertising. people in ohio and people in iowa, florida, and virginia, have a different sense of the race. the reason pennsylvania is in play because there has not been a lot of advertising. in the battleground states and i was in ohio and wisconsin and iowa and what you pick up, there is a real sense of enthusiasm for the romney campaign. i did not run into one republican party who is not happy about electing mitt romney opposed to someone to beat president obama. that is a significant change. on other side, the excitement and enthusiasm i
the state polls, the battle ground state polls suggest and indicate that president obama is ahead in nearly all of them but the national polls have a tie. it is striking to see this difference. it is sobering if you are a romney supporter to think he is trailing or tied in so many of the states. could the polls be wrong? they could. whether they are, we are wait dog find out. >>chris: you have been traveling the country if weeks and months, jeff, your sense of where this stands 48 hours...
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Nov 3, 2012
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the poll says obama will win in the swing states. nate silver says obama is ahead in the swing states and win the electoral college. the polls are usually right. the model acknowledges the polls could be wrong. that chance is at 15% based on the same sort of analysis i gave earlier that look there are a few examples when the polls are off this much. ken buck, sharon engel, hilary and obama in new hampshire but more the exception than rule therefore obama is the favorite. if obama wins i don't think that makes, you know, nate silver or myself or anyone else who stairs at the polls and says obama is favored, you know, being incredibly insightful. polls are right and pollsters get the credit. if obama loses i don't think nate silver should be panned out. i don't think either. >> never pan you. >> you could use your wizardry to answer this question. isn't it quite possible at this point in terms of electoral college when you're looking at the key battleground states the president has a lead in most them. isn't it possible the president w
the poll says obama will win in the swing states. nate silver says obama is ahead in the swing states and win the electoral college. the polls are usually right. the model acknowledges the polls could be wrong. that chance is at 15% based on the same sort of analysis i gave earlier that look there are a few examples when the polls are off this much. ken buck, sharon engel, hilary and obama in new hampshire but more the exception than rule therefore obama is the favorite. if obama wins i don't...
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Nov 1, 2012
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most of the polls show obama ahead. i tend to believe that obama has a better get out the vote organization. the republicans have proven in wisconsin and n the recall that they can play on that turf which makes ohio very tough state to call. i personally i would give the edge to obama, but that is me reading tea leaves as you said. i do believe in the end ohio we'll be looking at the winner of ohio as the next president of the united states. >> greta: i think everyone feels terrible what is happening to the eastern seaboard. it's gone farther west on the hurricane and inflicted blizzard. but politically, is this something that is to the advantage of the president. can they actually move a point or two? >> i think first, it froze the race. there has not been a lot of movement. the media has been focused on sandy and less on the presidential campaign. second of all, think it's going to affect, it can affect turnout but most places like new jersey and new york. i'm not sure it's going to have an effect. on the other hand t
most of the polls show obama ahead. i tend to believe that obama has a better get out the vote organization. the republicans have proven in wisconsin and n the recall that they can play on that turf which makes ohio very tough state to call. i personally i would give the edge to obama, but that is me reading tea leaves as you said. i do believe in the end ohio we'll be looking at the winner of ohio as the next president of the united states. >> greta: i think everyone feels terrible what...
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Oct 28, 2012
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one of the other arguments the obama campaign makes these national polls. gallup poll has shown consistently a seven-point lead for romney. simply missing these obama voters who will get out again. >> we have two polling races. we have rasmussen and gallup in one corner. according to the gallup and rasmussen we're headed for a landslide for romney. 11-point victory, he got seven, obama. they lost last time by huge amounts. i don't know what's going on out there. george, none of us does, i think, i think it's going to be extremely close. i think, like nicolle, it's going to be about ohio, the auto bailout. of all the policies and the arguments -- >> or miscounting latino voters. or people who don't respond to hard-line phone calls. or just the science of polling. >> or the number of times i have refused to pick up my phone when i can see it's research firm. but, nonetheless, i think a nightmare frankly, maybe we can all agree on this, is that there are some electoral college/popular vote difference. >> one scenario is that it just doesn't come down to one st
one of the other arguments the obama campaign makes these national polls. gallup poll has shown consistently a seven-point lead for romney. simply missing these obama voters who will get out again. >> we have two polling races. we have rasmussen and gallup in one corner. according to the gallup and rasmussen we're headed for a landslide for romney. 11-point victory, he got seven, obama. they lost last time by huge amounts. i don't know what's going on out there. george, none of us does, i...
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Nov 1, 2012
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but a new poll just out shows obama up by several points, leading in wisconsin, new hampshire and iowa. >> back and forth, back and forth. >> you can stay more collected -- more connected than ever before. a reminder of what these types of storms can do. maryland was very lucky this week. there is no doubt about that. >> cleanup has begun a long pitcher's east shore, but what do you do about this? is brand-new, carved out as the storm ripped through the barrier island on monday night. the house is now flattened or moved or stuck. >> i don't know where the house came from. the bridge of his peers were used to join the main road. the houses were someplace else for monday night. there are those who were moved there. >> it is phenomenal. this is what the town looked like before monday. now it is gone. and tune has been pushed into the homes and streets. all along is destruction. house is piled onto one another and others burned to the ground. in seaside heights, both amusement peers are gone. this is what it used to look like and now. right below us. my family was lucky. the house has been
but a new poll just out shows obama up by several points, leading in wisconsin, new hampshire and iowa. >> back and forth, back and forth. >> you can stay more collected -- more connected than ever before. a reminder of what these types of storms can do. maryland was very lucky this week. there is no doubt about that. >> cleanup has begun a long pitcher's east shore, but what do you do about this? is brand-new, carved out as the storm ripped through the barrier island on...
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the latest abc news poll shows mitt romney leading by one point. and while president obama enjoys overwhelming up port from african-americans, it's complicated. a new documentary series asking, will those same voter who propelled him to victory in 2008 turn out again? here's abc's pierre thomas for your voice, your vote. >> what he represented to a nation of kids was hope. >> in this campaign ad released today, superstar rapper jay-z encourages black voters to get out the door and into the polling booth for barack obama. >> i'm barack obama and i approve this message. >> reporter: with a 96% approval rating among black voters, though -- >> four more years! four more years! >> reporter: you may wonder why it's necessary. the reason? while support for the president among the democratic faithful remains high, this time, there's a decidedly different feel than that of election night 2008, a historic moment for the country as a whole, but a particularly meaningful one in the african-american community. >> i can't believe it! >> reporter: the tears flowe
the latest abc news poll shows mitt romney leading by one point. and while president obama enjoys overwhelming up port from african-americans, it's complicated. a new documentary series asking, will those same voter who propelled him to victory in 2008 turn out again? here's abc's pierre thomas for your voice, your vote. >> what he represented to a nation of kids was hope. >> in this campaign ad released today, superstar rapper jay-z encourages black voters to get out the door and...
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Nov 1, 2012
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CURRENT
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a poll putting president obama up 50-45 and then public policy polling, 50-45 those are both five-point leads and then the university of cincinnati has obama with a two-point lead. as you look at that, as far as polling goes six days before an election if we weren't worried about being wrong, etc. we'll put that in the books. >> i don't know if we'll put it in the books. ohio is one of these volatile states. you just want know it can change. you don't look at the 5-5-2 today, you look at the days that the president has been ahead in the poll, even in the margin of error. >> cenk: so let's get a sense of where they stand. obama is leading 48-45 according to the detroit news. according to epic--is that your poll. >> that's a poll i took earlier today. six-point poll. >> cenk: and not michael's poll. 48-42, six-point lead. when you go to wisconsin 51-43 and 51-43. that's marquette. >> that just came out. that's a poll that a lot of journalists in wisconsin--i just talked to someone in wisconsin lee berquist said we're all waiting for that poll. that poll is definitive. >> cenk: so wisconsi
a poll putting president obama up 50-45 and then public policy polling, 50-45 those are both five-point leads and then the university of cincinnati has obama with a two-point lead. as you look at that, as far as polling goes six days before an election if we weren't worried about being wrong, etc. we'll put that in the books. >> i don't know if we'll put it in the books. ohio is one of these volatile states. you just want know it can change. you don't look at the 5-5-2 today, you look at...
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our poll of polls shows 47% apiece. >>> president obama is slamming governor romney over an ad his campaign is running in the key battleground state of ohio. watch. >> look, i understand governor romney has had a tough time here in ohio because he was against saving the auto industry. and it's hard to run away from a position when you're on videotape saying, let detroit go bankrupt. but, but, you've got to own what you say. this isn't a game. these are people's jobs at stake. these are people's lives. you don't scare hard-working americans just to scare up some votes. that's not what being president is all about. >> the president was responding to this romney ad that implied the auto bailout plan failed and chrysler will move jobs to china. that's a claim that chrysler has vehemently denied. >>> on the other side of ohio, mitt romney sharpened his attack on obama focusing on the economy. >> now, i know when we're elected the economy and american jobs will still be stagnant. but i won't waste any time complaining about my predecessor. i will spend my effort trying to pass partisan legislatio
our poll of polls shows 47% apiece. >>> president obama is slamming governor romney over an ad his campaign is running in the key battleground state of ohio. watch. >> look, i understand governor romney has had a tough time here in ohio because he was against saving the auto industry. and it's hard to run away from a position when you're on videotape saying, let detroit go bankrupt. but, but, you've got to own what you say. this isn't a game. these are people's jobs at stake....
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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obama has led among independents by two, and two polls they didn't break out by democrat or republican or independent. it is hard to believe if romney is leading among republicans by the margins he is and leading among democrats or among independents by an average of 13 that he will not win. >>chris: a last question, you have this map like it is set in stone but you hear talk about the possibility that there could be new states that come on including pennsylvania or michigan or minnesota. could romney have a chance in any of other states we previously thought were solid for obama? >> he bought television in minnesota but own minneapolis tv, to hit far west wisconsin but we have to watch pennsylvania which have moved from obama to lean obama so if there is a national trend since the first debate moving in romney's direction --. >> i don't think the states are if play. they can get romney there to spend time but i wouldn't do it. if i win ohio or wisconsin the states that are up they have a better shot of getting there. >>chris: like herding cats here today. when we come back what issues
obama has led among independents by two, and two polls they didn't break out by democrat or republican or independent. it is hard to believe if romney is leading among republicans by the margins he is and leading among democrats or among independents by an average of 13 that he will not win. >>chris: a last question, you have this map like it is set in stone but you hear talk about the possibility that there could be new states that come on including pennsylvania or michigan or minnesota....
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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national poll here, the national poll, this is a 49%, romney, 48%, president obama. does a national poll really mean anything because the swing states are what counts, we hear. georgia's going to be red. we know what column it's going in. it's a swing state, especially with the electoral college, does the national poll mean anything? >> national poll gives you the sense of an ebb and flow in a campaign. whether the debates or events had an effect. typically states will all sort of move together one direction or another. whether that's the case this year, you could make the argument that ohio, florida, wisconsin and nevada are all very different states but the general temperature of the campaign, i think, is best shown in those broader national polls. >> so in the swing states like in ohio, in florida -- like ohio now, 50% for obama, 46%, romney. you can do that with all of them. and then there's a margin of error. if you have a three or four-point margin of error, you'll say, obama's in the lead but he's within the three-point margin of error, you really haven't told
national poll here, the national poll, this is a 49%, romney, 48%, president obama. does a national poll really mean anything because the swing states are what counts, we hear. georgia's going to be red. we know what column it's going in. it's a swing state, especially with the electoral college, does the national poll mean anything? >> national poll gives you the sense of an ebb and flow in a campaign. whether the debates or events had an effect. typically states will all sort of move...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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KTVU
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even if your polls, president obama retains the advantage but it has been used to shrink it. just what you said. >> first of all, it has been shrunk by ordinary americans looking at the president's handling of the situation and, feeling that he is coming up way short and my comment about looking at this, i'm looking at this from the perspective of having been in the white house and i cannot imagine that at 4:05 in the afternoon the situation room got word of an attack on an american facility in benghazi they wouldn't have taken it to the president and the national security advisor and the president would not have been engaged and i take the president's word. >> thank you, karl, you said... >> chris: wait, let karl finish. >> blaming the -- >> juan, hold on, let karl finish. >> i did. >> no, he didn't. he didn't. >> no. >> chris: let him finish. >> if the president ordered the assistance be given and none was given until well after 7 hours later. if the cia at the clan des type annex were told three times don't engage and we had men disregard the orders of their superiors and
even if your polls, president obama retains the advantage but it has been used to shrink it. just what you said. >> first of all, it has been shrunk by ordinary americans looking at the president's handling of the situation and, feeling that he is coming up way short and my comment about looking at this, i'm looking at this from the perspective of having been in the white house and i cannot imagine that at 4:05 in the afternoon the situation room got word of an attack on an american...
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new washington post poll out showing president obama at 51. governor romney at 47%. this is a race that has a similar situation in ohio. your economy is doing better than the national economy is, and this has been a tough row for him to hoe. what does mitt romney have to do if he can get into the state after the storm to turn this around? >> well, first i do want to thank governor romney who called me yesterday and agreed to cancel three events in virginia today to allow our first responders to focus on that. i appreciate it. the president is doing the same thing tomorrow. you mentioned the post poll. there are two other polls, both rasmussen and fox, that have romney up by two. it's margin of error. it's close, and it's going to come down to turn out the last undecided voters. i think why romney will win virginia is because he is the one that's going to reverse these sequestration cuts. they're going to devastate the military and cost us $200,000 jobs. the president has been a bystander and won't do that. he is the one with the plan to create jobs and we've got 23 m
new washington post poll out showing president obama at 51. governor romney at 47%. this is a race that has a similar situation in ohio. your economy is doing better than the national economy is, and this has been a tough row for him to hoe. what does mitt romney have to do if he can get into the state after the storm to turn this around? >> well, first i do want to thank governor romney who called me yesterday and agreed to cancel three events in virginia today to allow our first...
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obama has led among independents by two, and two polls they didn't break out by democrat or republican or independent. it is hard to believe if romney is leading among republicans by the margins he is and leading among democrats or among independents by an average of 13 that he will not win. >>chris: a last question, you have this map like it is set in stone but you hear talk about the possibility that there could be new states that come on including pennsylvania or michigan or minnesota. could romney have a chance in any of other states we previously thought were solid for obama? >> he bought television in minnesota but own minneapolis tv, to hit far west wisconsin but we have to watch pennsylvania which have moved from obama to lean obama so if there is a national trend since the first debate moving in romney's direction --. >> i don't think the states are if play. they can get romney there to spend time but i wouldn't do it. if i win ohio or wisconsin the states that are up they have a better shot of getting there. >>chris: like herding cats here today. when we come back what issues
obama has led among independents by two, and two polls they didn't break out by democrat or republican or independent. it is hard to believe if romney is leading among republicans by the margins he is and leading among democrats or among independents by an average of 13 that he will not win. >>chris: a last question, you have this map like it is set in stone but you hear talk about the possibility that there could be new states that come on including pennsylvania or michigan or minnesota....